@Article{VonRandowRoToAgKrKa:2019:ReRiDi,
               author = "Von Randow, Rita de C{\'a}ssia Silva and Rodriguez, Daniel 
                         Andr{\'e}s and Tomasella, Javier and Aguiar, Ana Paula Dutra and 
                         Kruijt, Bart and Kabat, Pavel",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and 
                         {Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)} and {Centro 
                         Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} 
                         and {Wageningen University} and {International Institute for 
                         Applied System Analysis}",
                title = "Response of the river discharge in the Tocantins River Basin, 
                         Brazil, to environmental changes and the associated effects on the 
                         energy potential",
              journal = "Regional Environmental Change",
                 year = "2019",
               volume = "19",
               number = "1",
                pages = "193--204",
                month = "Jan.",
             keywords = "Hydrological modeling . Climate change . Land use and land cover 
                         change . Secondary forest . Hydropower potential.",
             abstract = "Climate change is expected to impact the hydrological regime 
                         worldwide, and land use and land cover change may alter the 
                         effects of the former in some cases. Secondary growth in 
                         deforested and abandoned areas is one of the main consequences of 
                         land use and cover changes in Amazonia. Among land uses, the 
                         effects of the secondary growth in water availability in large 
                         scale basins are not well understood. This work analyzes the 
                         potential effects of secondary growth under climate and land use 
                         change on water availability and hydropower in the Tocantins 
                         basin, in the Legal Amazon region of Brazil, using the MHD-INPE 
                         hydrological model driven by different climate scenarios and two 
                         future socioeconomic-based potential land use scenarios. The model 
                         projects decrease on discharge under climate change scenarios, 
                         which further cause the simulated hydropower energy potential to 
                         decrease significantly. When only deforestation scenarios are 
                         included, the effects of climate change are weakened, but when 
                         secondary growth is also considered, the effects of climate change 
                         are enhanced. Results suggest that different aspects of 
                         environmental change, such as secondary growth, may affect water 
                         production and the sectors depending on it.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s10113-018-1396-5",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1396-5",
                 issn = "1436-3798 and 1436-378X",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "randow_response.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}